"Will Elon Musk remain owner of Twitter at the end of 2023?"
Basic
1
Ṁ100Dec 31
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there is no publicly available data about ownership stakes, this will resolve positively unless there is some strong reason to think he is no longer majority owner.
This is question #27 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
"Will any FAANG or Musk company accept crypto as a payment at the end of 2023?"
37% chance
"Will Donald Trump make at least one tweet in 2023?"
55% chance
"Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?"
56% chance
"Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2023?"
38% chance
"Will Twitter's average monetizable daily users be higher in 2023 than in 2022?"
50% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance
"Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023?"
52% chance
"Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?"
33% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?"
57% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance