Will PredictIt think Joe Biden is the most likely 2024 Dem nominee by the end of 2022?
Basic
2
Ṁ215
Jan 1
77%
chance
From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules