Will PredictIt think Joe Biden is the most likely 2024 Dem nominee by the end of 2022?

Question

From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest

Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 77% chance (2 traders, as of Feb 1, 2022).

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