"Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023?"

Question

IE will it end the year higher than it began?

This is question #31 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 52% chance (5 traders, as of May 11, 2023).

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