If we launch a token in 2022, will it have a market cap of $20M by Jan 2023?

Question

Resolves YES if Manifold Markets (or an affiliated company or institution) launches a crypto token to the public before the end of 2022, and it has a market cap of 20 million USD or greater by the end of Jan 2023.

Resolves NO if Manifold launches a token in 2022, and it has a market cap less than $20M by the end of Jan 2023, or if there isn't a well-defined market cap or market price per token at that time.

Resolves N/A if Manifold does not launch a token in 2022. #ManifoldMarkets #crypto

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 32% chance (4 traders, as of Mar 5, 2024).

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