Will my Sundance trip still happen?

[Metaculus] Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?

Will anyone get married after first meeting in person at vibecamp #1? Resolves 2030.

Will a 40 person indoor professional event be legal in UK, July 1st?

Will 2022 will be warmer than 2021?

Will Manifold Markets require Proof of Humanity by the end of 2022?

Will a psychedelic drug be decriminalized/legalized in at least one more US state in 2022?

Will China not reopen its borders in the first half of 2022?

Will the Turkmenistanian "Gates of Hell" fire be extinguished before 2023?

Will the sequel to Zelda: Breath of the Wild be released in 2022?