Will there be a verified encounter with extraterrestrial life by the end of 2030?
10%
chance

The topic of extraterrestrial life has been a point of fascination and debate for decades. Technological advancements in space exploration and astrobiology are rapidly changing our understanding of the cosmos and the potential for life beyond Earth. As someone who follows scientific advancements closely, I find the topic of extraterrestrial life both exciting and significant. With ongoing missions like the James Webb Space Telescope and the Mars Perseverance rover, the chance of discovering life—be it microbial or more complex—seems greater than ever before. This market gauges whether we will have a verified encounter with extraterrestrial life forms by the end of the year 2030. It will resolve YES if a credible scientific body or space agency like NASA, ESA, or similar, confirms such an encounter through published findings. Whether it's a discovery of microbial life on Mars or a signal from an intelligent civilization, any credible verification counts. It resolves NO in the absence of such confirmation. My own stake in this question is purely from a place of curiosity, and I will not be betting in this market.

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