U.S. Representative for Alabama's 1st congressional district

 the November 3, 2026 general election (plurality winner). Primaries do not count.

on whose line or with whose party designation they appear on the official general-election ballot

. A candidate nominated by Democratic Party or Republican Party who also appears on other parties' lines (fusion) counts as that party's candidate. Candidates who are independent, have no party preference, or belong to any other party resolve to "Another party or independent", even if they say they would caucus with a major party. Later party switches, caucus decisions, resignations or deaths after the result is certified do 

 if a nominee withdraws, dies or is replaced before the election, the market still resolves to the party of the certified winner; the names below are informational only.

 resolves on the state's certified results. It may resolve earlier once the Associated Press has called the race and no recount, contest or runoff that could change the winner remains pending. If a recount or court-ordered correction changes the certified winner before resolution, the corrected certified result controls.

 if the general election is postponed, the market stays open until the rescheduled election for the same term. If no election for this office and term is held, it resolves N/A.

Candidates on the certified general-election list at the time of creation (October 2026, informational):

Starting probabilities are seeds set mechanically from the district's partisan lean, not forecasts.

U.S. Representative for California's 29th congressional district

 California does not count write-in votes in a top-two general election for Congress, so only the two candidates above can win. Both appear on the certified list with party preference Democratic; this seat is therefore Democratic by ballot composition, but this market prices only which candidate wins.

 each candidate's party designation is shown for information only. This is a candidate market: a "No" on one candidate is a bet on any other winner, not on a particular party.

 the market resolves to the candidate certified as the winner. If a listed candidate is replaced on the ballot by someone not listed, the creator will N/A the market.

Starting probabilities are seeds, not forecasts.

 if Idaho Proposition 1 (Proposition One: Reproductive Freedom & Privacy Act) is 

approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

 resolves on the result certified by Idaho Secretary of State / State Board of Canvassers. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

 if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

 resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

https://archive.voteidaho.gov/download/2026_Voter_Pamphlet.pdf

 if Alabama Amendment 2 (Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of Alabama of 2022, to provide a process for the creation of a consolidated county school system by merging two or more contiguous county boards of education; to require the State Board of Education to conduct an impact study...; to provide a procedure for protesting a proposed consolidation...; and to require the State Board of Education to adopt rules. Proposed by Act 2026-378.) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Returns to Secretary of State; State Canvassing Board (Governor, Secretary of State, Attorney General) certifies; Governor proclaims result (Ala. Const. §285). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.sos.alabama.gov/sites/default/files/2026-08/FBCStatewideAmendment-2.pdf

 if Louisiana Amendment 1 (Do you support an amendment to allow the surviving spouse of a deceased veteran with a service-connected disability, who receives the additional property tax exemption, to make a one-time transfer of the additional property tax exemption to a subsequent qualifying property? (Effective January 1, 2027) (Amends Article VII, Section 21(K)(1))) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Secretary of State verifies, compiles and promulgates returns (La. R.S. 18:574(D)); Governor proclaims adoption (Const. art. XIII §1(C)).. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.sos.la.gov/media/jo2die1s/proposed-constitutional-amendments-2026-nov.pdf

 if South Dakota Amendment I (An Amendment to the South Dakota Constitution that Repeals Expanded Medicaid Coverage if Federal Funding for the Program Drops below 90%.) is 

 resolves on the result certified by South Dakota State Canvassing Board. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://sdsos.gov/elections-voting/upcoming-elections/general-information/2026%20Election%20Information/2026%20Ballot%20Question%20Information/2026%20Ballot%20Question%20Files/2026%20BQ/2026GeneralBQPamphletFINAL.pdf

 if Tennessee Amendment 2 (Proposed amendment to Article II, Section 28 (prohibit state property tax)) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Tennessee Secretary of State / State Election Commission (statewide canvass). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://sos.tn.gov/elections/announcements/2026-proposed-constitutional-amendments

 if Virginia Question 1 (Should the Constitution of Virginia be amended to (i) protect the freedom to make personal decisions about prenatal care, childbirth, postpartum care, birth control, abortion, miscarriage management, and fertility care; (ii) protect doctors, nurses, and patients from being punished for these decisions; and (iii) allow for restrictions on access to abortion during the third trimester of pregnancy except when the patient's health is at risk or the pregnancy cannot survive?) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Virginia State Board of Elections / Department of Elections. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-constitutional-amendment-question-1/

 if Missouri Amendment 8 (Shall the Missouri Constitution be amended to support law enforcement by preserving the right of citizens to elect a county sheriff, prohibiting the removal of a county sheriff except by a writ of quo warranto, and recognizing the office of sheriff as part of the administration of justice?) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Missouri Secretary of State / Board of State Canvassers. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.sos.mo.gov/petitions/2026BallotMeasures

 if Louisiana Amendment 7 (Do you support an amendment to allow for the use of public funds by a political subdivision for the purpose of identifying, inventorying, removing or replacing drinking water utility service lines made of or affected by materials as specified or prescribed by the Lead and Copper Rule Improvements of the United States Environmental Protection Agency, promulgated October 30, 2024, or subsequent promulgation, on property owned by utility customers? (Amends Article VII, Section 14)) is 

 if California Proposition 42 (Prohibits New State Personal Property Taxes and Certain Retroactive State Taxes. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.) is 

 resolves on the result certified by California Secretary of State (Statement of Vote, due by 38th day after election, i.e. 2026-12-11). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/42/

 if California Proposition 45 (Modifies Environmental Review for Certain Projects. Initiative Statute.) is 

https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/45/

 if Wisconsin Question 1 (Partial veto. Shall section 10 (1) (c) of article V of the constitution be amended to prohibit the governor, in exercising his or her partial veto authority, from creating or increasing or authorizing the creation or increase of any tax or fee?) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Wisconsin Elections Commission. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.co.portage.wi.gov/DocumentCenter/View/7368/Type-C-Notice-for-Ref-for-November-2026-General-Election_Final-12-PT

 if Vermont Proposal 3 (Proposal 3: Article 23 of Chapter I [Right to collectively bargain]) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Vermont Secretary of State / state canvassing committee. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://governor.vermont.gov/sites/scott/files/documents/Proclamation%203%20Collective%20Bargaining.pdf

 if Colorado Proposition 135 (Prohibit Certain Surgeries on Minors) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Colorado Secretary of State (official statewide canvass); takes effect on Governor's proclamation. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://leg.colorado.gov/ballots/prohibit-surgery-on-minors-in-response-to-perception-of-sex-or-gender-2/files/blue-book

 if Hawaii Question 2 (Directing the Hawaii State Legislature to Establish Procedures for Counties to Issue RISE Bonds, Exempt from County Debt Limits.) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Hawaii Chief Election Officer (Office of Elections). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://elections.hawaii.gov/voting/2026-proposed-amendments-to-the-hawaii-state-constitution/

 if Nebraska Initiative Measure 441 (Online Sports Wagering Regulation: Shall statutes be enacted that: (1) Allow persons located within Nebraska to place sports wagers through an Internet-based platform when offered by an authorized gaming operator conducting games of chance within a licensed racetrack enclosure in Nebraska or the operator's platform provider; and (2) Regulate such sports wagers?) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Nebraska State Canvassing Board (Governor, Attorney General, Auditor, Treasurer, Secretary of State). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://sos.nebraska.gov/sites/default/files/doc/elections/2026/2026%20Ballot%20Measures%20Pamphlet.pdf

 if Maryland Question 2 (Temporary Appointments on the Commission on Judicial Disabilities) is 

 resolves on the result certified by State Board of Canvassers certifies; Governor proclaims adopted amendments. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.elections.maryland.gov/elections/2026/ballot_questions.html

 if Louisiana Amendment 2 (Do you support an amendment to allow a local taxing authority to continue to levy a lower millage rate without losing its ability to adjust to the maximum authorized millage rate from a prior year's reassessment? (Effective January 1, 2027) (Amends Article VII, Section 23(C))) is 

 if Minnesota (Increasing funding to school districts. Shall the Minnesota Constitution be amended to increase the funding going to all school districts from the permanent school fund, which is a fund that supports school districts without raising individual income or property taxes, effective July 1, 2027?) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Minnesota State Canvassing Board. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.sos.mn.gov/elections-voting/whats-on-my-ballot/constitutional-amendments

 if North Carolina (Property Tax Levy Limit) is 

 resolves on the result certified by NC State Board of Elections (effective upon certification). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

 85% is a starting seed, not a forecast. Basis: Elon University Poll, Aug 21-31, 2026: 72% favor / 14% oppose / 14% unsure (

https://s3.amazonaws.com/dl.ncsbe.gov/Elections/2026/Candidate%20Filing/statewide_referendums_20261103.pdf

 if Arkansas Issue 3 (A Constitutional Amendment Concerning Economic Development in the State of Arkansas; and Authorizing the General Assembly to Provide for the Creation of Economic Development Districts Within Cities, Counties, or Cooperative Areas to Promote Economic Development Within the Economic Development District.) is 

 resolves on the result certified by County boards of election commissioners certify returns to the Secretary of State, who certifies statewide results. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.sos.arkansas.gov/uploads/elections/Issue_No._3_SJR_15_of_2026_.pdf

 if New Mexico Bond Question 3 (The 2026 Capital Projects General Obligation Bond Act authorizes the issuance and sale of higher education, special schools and tribal schools capital improvement and acquisition bonds.) is 

 resolves on the result certified by New Mexico State Canvassing Board. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.sos.nm.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/2026-Voter-Guide-English.pdf

 if Ohio Issue 3 (Voters to present photo identification in order to vote (Proposed by Joint Resolution of the General Assembly; to enact Section 5 of Article V of the Ohio Constitution)) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Ohio Secretary of State (official statewide canvass). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.ohiosos.gov/assets/2026-11-statewide-issue-3-report.pdf

 if Colorado Proposition 133 (Penalties for Human Trafficking of a Minor) is 

https://leg.colorado.gov/ballots/penalties-for-human-trafficking-of-a-minor-2/files/blue-book

 if Montana I-194 (Initiative No. 194 - The Montana Plan Act) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Montana Secretary of State / State Board of Canvassers. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/wpfd/preview_files/I-194(d4249530242056d948420c5212f6f750).pdf

 if Oklahoma State Question 845 (SQ 845, LR 379 Final Ballot Title (Judicial Nominating Commission), as rewritten by the Attorney General) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Oklahoma State Election Board. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.sos.ok.gov/documents/questions/845.pdf

 if New Mexico Amendment 4 (Proposing to amend Article 4, Section 10 of the Constitution of New Mexico to allow legislative compensation that is limited to the median household income for New Mexico, to require legislative compensation to be reduced if the median household income for New Mexico falls, to allow legislative compensation to be increased only if the median household income for New Mexico rises and to provide for delayed implementation.) is 

 if Colorado Amendment 85 (Plain Language Ballot Questions) is 

https://leg.colorado.gov/ballots/plain-language-ballot-titles-2/files/blue-book

 if Missouri Amendment 6 (Shall the Missouri Constitution be amended to: expand the initiative and referendum petition process by making it a fundamental right; allow courts to revise ballot summaries through lawsuits; prohibit the legislature from weakening initiative or referendum powers; prohibit the legislature from changing or repealing laws enacted through the initiative process, or passing laws similar to those rejected by referendum, without approval from at least 80% of both chambers; and preserve existing majority vote and signature requirements for initiative and referendum petitions?) is 

 65% is a starting seed, not a forecast. Basis: SLU/YouGov, Aug 13-24, 2026: 48% support / 21% oppose / 32% unsure (

https://www.slu.edu/research/research-institute/big-ideas/slu-poll/-pdf/august-2026-ballot-measures-write-up.pdf

). The high undecided share tempers the seed..

 if Colorado Amendment 87 (Graduated Income Tax) is 

https://leg.colorado.gov/ballots/graduated-income-tax-2/files/blue-book

 if South Dakota Amendment K (An Amendment to the South Dakota Constitution Establishing the Trust for Unclaimed Property Fund.) is 

 if Virginia Question 3 (Should the Constitution of Virginia be amended (i) to provide for the fundamental right to vote in the Commonwealth, (ii) to revise the qualifications of voters so that a person convicted of a felony is not entitled to vote during his period of incarceration but is automatically invested with the right to vote upon release from incarceration, and (iii) to update the existing prohibition on voting by persons found to be mentally incompetent to instead apply to persons who have been found to lack the capacity to understand the act of voting?) is 

https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-constitutional-amendment-question-3/

 if Iowa Amendment 1 (Shall the following amendment to the Constitution be adopted? (new Article XIII: two-thirds vote of each house required to raise income tax rates or create a new income tax)) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Iowa State Board of Canvassers. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.legis.iowa.gov/docs/aco/bulletincontent/06-24-2026.Regulatory%20Analysis_1780517797265.pdf

 if Idaho HJR 4 (Amendment to Idaho Constitution - House Joint Resolution 4 (Section 26, Article III, psychoactive substances)) is 

 if Washington Initiative IL26-001 (Initiative Measure No. IL26-001 concerns parental rights relating to their children in public school.) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Washington Secretary of State (certifies statewide results by 30th day after election, RCW 29A.60.250). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/data-research/election-data-and-maps/election-results-and-voters-pamphlets/2026-general-election-voters-guide

 if Georgia Amendment 1 (Increases the maximum qualifying acreage for assessment and taxation as bona fide conservation use property.) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Georgia Secretary of State certifies; Governor proclaims ratified amendments. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://sos.ga.gov/sites/default/files/2026-09/2026%20Constitutional%20Summaries%20booklet%20FINAL.pdf

 if Missouri Amendment 3 (Shall the Missouri Constitution be amended to: Repeal the 2024 voter-approved Amendment providing reproductive healthcare rights, including abortion through fetal viability; Allow abortions for rape and incest (under twelve-weeks' gestation), emergencies, and fetal anomalies; Allow legislation regulating abortion; Ensure parental consent for minors' abortions; Prohibit gender transition procedures for minors?) is 

 45% is a starting seed, not a forecast. Basis: SLU/YouGov, Aug 13-24, 2026, 900 likely voters: 43% support / 44% oppose / 13% unsure (

 if Colorado Amendment 86 (Congressional Redistricting) is 

https://leg.colorado.gov/ballots/requirements-for-off-cycle-congressional-redistricting-2/files/blue-book

 if Montana CI-133 (CI-133 amends the constitution to secure the fundamental right of initiative and referendum from interference by the government.) is 

https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/wpfd/preview_files/CI-133(ba9d97da675a9f26f24b5f9e333b35b7).pdf

 if Louisiana Amendment 6 (Do you support an amendment to authorize parishes and municipalities to extend an additional property tax exemption for property subject to the homestead exemption that is owned and occupied by a person who is at least sixty-five years of age and who qualifies for the special assessment level? (Effective January 1, 2028) (Adds Article VII, Section 21(P))) is 

 if Idaho HJR 6 (Amendment to Idaho Constitution - House Joint Resolution 6 (new Section 8, Article X, English official language)) is 

 if California Proposition 41 (Prohibits New State Taxes That Exclude Revenues from State Spending Limit. Requires Audits for New State Special Taxes. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.) is 

https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/41/

 if Georgia Amendment 3 (Authorizes creation of Georgia Next Generation 9-1-1 Fund for 9-1-1 systems expansion, maintenance, and operation.) is 

 if Maryland Question 3 (Electoral Districts - General Assembly and Congressional Representatives) is 

 if Colorado Proposition 134 (Male and Female Participation in School Sports) is 

https://leg.colorado.gov/ballots/male-and-female-participation-in-school-and-collegiate-sports-2/files/blue-book

 if California Proposition 44 (Requires Community Health Clinics Spend 90% of Revenue on Program Services. Initiative Statute.) is 

 15% is a starting seed, not a forecast. Basis: PPIC Statewide Survey, Sep 4-10 2026, 1,103 likely voters: 34% yes / 61% no / 6% DK - 

https://www.ppic.org/publication/ppic-statewide-survey-californians-and-their-government-september-2026/

https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/44/

 if Louisiana Amendment 5 (Do you support an amendment to authorize a state retirement system to apply any nonrecurring state monies it receives to any of its unfunded accrued liability rather than requiring application to its oldest unfunded accrued liability? (Amends Article VII, Section 10(D)(2)(b)(iii))) is 

 if Arkansas Issue 2 (A Constitutional Amendment to Amend Arkansas Constitution, Article 2, § 5, to Protect the Right to Keep and Bear Arms.) is 

 85% is a starting seed, not a forecast. Basis: Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College poll, Aug 11-12, 2026, 1,217 likely voters: 67% for / 23% against / 10% undecided (

https://talkbusiness.net/2026/08/poll-voters-weigh-in-on-4-ballot-proposals/

https://www.sos.arkansas.gov/uploads/elections/Issue_No._2_SJR_11_of_2026_.pdf

 if Louisiana Amendment 4 (Do you support an amendment to prohibit a person who has served more than one and one-half terms as governor from being elected as governor for any future term? (Amends Article IV, Section 3(B))) is 

 if Nebraska Initiative Measure 440 (Online Sports Wagering Authorization: Shall the Nebraska Constitution be amended to authorize the enactment of laws allowing persons located within Nebraska to place sports wagers through an Internet-based platform when offered by an authorized gaming operator conducting games of chance within a licensed racetrack enclosure in Nebraska?) is 

 if Louisiana Amendment 10 (Do you support an amendment to allow property tax exemptions for blighted or derelict properties that have been rehabilitated, and to require the legislature to enact laws providing for administration of these exemptions? (Effective January 1, 2027) (Adds Article VII, Section 21(P))) is 

 if South Dakota Amendment L (An Amendment to the South Dakota Constitution Requiring that a Proposed Constitutional Amendment or Revision Receive an Affirmative Vote of Sixty Percent of the Votes Cast.) is 

 if Utah Amendment B (Shall the Utah Constitution be amended to require that citizen-proposed laws that increase taxes compared to existing law be approved by at least 60% of voters, instead of a simple majority?) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Utah Lieutenant Governor / State Board of Canvassers. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://vote.utah.gov/wp-content/uploads/2026/09/2026-Voter-Information-Pamphlet.pdf

 if Florida Amendment 1 (Budget Stabilization Fund) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Florida Elections Canvassing Commission (statewide results); Dept. of State assigns amendment numbers. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.flsenate.gov/Session/Bill/2025/5019

 if Montana CI-132 (CI-132 amends the Montana Constitution to require that judicial elections remain nonpartisan.) is 

https://sosmt.gov/wp-content/uploads/wpfd/preview_files/CI-132(3a70e31b2fe58baa619ffb1d9b23c8ff).pdf

 if Tennessee Amendment 3 (Proposed amendment to Article I, Section 35 (rights of crime victims)) is 

 if Wisconsin Question 2 (Freedom to gather in places of worship during an emergency. Shall section 18 of article I of the constitution, which deals with religious liberty, be amended to prohibit the state or a political subdivision of the state from ordering the closure of, or forbidding gatherings in, places of worship in response to a state of emergency, including a public health emergency?) is 

 if California Proposition 2 (Increases State's Rainy Day Fund. Legislative Constitutional Amendment.) is 

 75% is a starting seed, not a forecast. Basis: PPIC Statewide Survey, Sep 4-10 2026, 1,103 likely voters: 60% yes / 39% no / 1% DK - 

https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/2/

 if Virginia Question 2 (Should the Constitution of Virginia be amended to (i) remove the ban on same-sex marriage; (ii) affirm that two adults may marry regardless of sex, gender, or race; and (iii) require all legally valid marriages to be treated equally under the law?) is 

https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-constitutional-amendment-question-2/

 if California Proposition 1 (Authorizes Bonds for Housing Affordability Programs. Legislative Statute.) is 

https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/1/

 if Colorado Proposition NN (State Public K-12 Education Funding) is 

https://www.coloradosos.gov/pubs/elections/Initiatives/ballot/contacts/2026.html

 if California Proposition 38 (Authorizes Bonds for Immunology Medical Research. Initiative Statute.) is 

https://voterguide.sos.ca.gov/propositions/38/

 if Colorado Proposition 136 (Income Tax Rate Cap) is 

https://leg.colorado.gov/ballots/income-tax-rate-limit-2/files/blue-book

 if Kentucky Amendment 1 (AN ACT proposing to amend Section 77 of the Constitution of Kentucky relating to limiting the Governor's ability to grant pardons and commute sentences.) is 

 resolves on the result certified by State Board of Elections (statewide canvass board) certifies; Governor proclaims (Ky. Const. §256). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.sos.ky.gov/elections/Pages/Constitutional-Amendments.aspx

 if Michigan Proposal 2 (A proposed initiated law to prohibit campaign contributions from certain regulated utilities and government contractors and apply campaign finance laws and regulations to additional types of political communications) is 

 resolves on the result certified by Michigan Board of State Canvassers. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

 75% is a starting seed, not a forecast. Basis: Glengariff for Detroit News/WDIV, Aug 31-Sep 3 2026, 600 LV, ±4: 71.5% yes / 15.6% no / 12.8% undecided. 

https://www.clickondetroit.com/news/local/2026/09/09/poll-do-michigan-voters-support-stricter-political-campaign-finance-rules/

https://www.michigan.gov/sos/-/media/Project/Websites/sos/BSC-Announcements/2026/MMOP-Staff-Report.pdf

 if Georgia Amendment 2 (Provides for the nonpartisan election of all probate court judges.) is 

 if Wisconsin Question 3 (Governmental entity discrimination prohibited. Shall section 27 of article I of the constitution be created to prohibit governmental entities in the state from discriminating against, or granting preferential treatment to, any individual or group on the basis of race, sex, color, ethnicity, or national origin in public employment, public education, public contracting, or public administration?) is 

 if Arkansas Issue 1 (A Constitutional Amendment to Be Known as "The Citizens Only Voting Amendment" and Providing That Only a Citizen of the United States Meeting the Qualifications of an Elector Under the Arkansas Constitution May Vote in an Election in this State.) is 

 85% is a starting seed, not a forecast. Basis: Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College poll, Aug 11-12, 2026, 1,217 likely voters: 60% for / 27% against / 13% undecided (

); similar 2024 measures passed in all 8 states..

https://www.sos.arkansas.gov/uploads/elections/Issue_No._1_HJR_1018_of_2026_.pdf_.pdf

 if Maryland Question 1 (Arbitration Reform for State Employees Act of 2026) is 

 if New Mexico Bond Question 2 (The 2026 Capital Projects General Obligation Bond Act authorizes the issuance and sale of library acquisition bonds.) is 

 if Utah Amendment A (Shall the Utah Constitution be amended to change how proposed constitutional amendments are published, requiring publication for 60 days immediately before the general election in a manner established by state law instead of in newspapers?) is 

 if West Virginia Amendment 1 (Citizenship Requirement to Vote in West Virginia Elections Amendment) is 

 resolves on the result certified by County boards of canvassers certify; Secretary of State ascertains and proclaims statewide result (W. Va. Code §3-11-6). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://sos.wv.gov/article/secretary-warner-issues-public-notice-proposed-amendment-west-virginia-constitution-will

 if Hawaii Question 1 (Increasing the Timeframe for the Hawaii Senate to Consider and Act on Judicial Appointments.) is 

 if Missouri Amendment 7 (Shall the Missouri Constitution be amended to establish a permanent public endowment fund to support state government instead of taxing Missouri residents, prohibit the General Assembly from appropriating or diverting the fund, and eliminate state-imposed taxes once the fund generates sufficient revenue to replace them?) is 

 if North Carolina (Require Photo ID for All Voters) is 

 resolves on the result certified by NC State Board of Elections (amendment effective upon its certification). It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

 80% is a starting seed, not a forecast. Basis: Elon University Poll, Aug 21-31, 2026: 63% favor / 25% oppose / 12% unsure (

 if Louisiana Amendment 8 (Do you support an amendment to prohibit expropriation of property by a foreign adversary or an agent of a foreign adversary? (Amends Article I, Section 4(B)(4))) is 

 if North Dakota Measure 2 (Initiated Constitutional Measure No. 2 (funding of school lunches; new section to Article VIII)) is 

 resolves on the result certified by North Dakota State Canvassing Board. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

https://www.sos.nd.gov/sites/default/files/documents/elections/measures/ballot-language-2026-general-measure2.pdf

 if South Dakota Amendment J (An Amendment to the South Dakota Constitution Clarifying that an Individual Must Be a Citizen of the United States to be Eligible to Vote.) is 

 if Colorado Amendment 84 (Mail Ballot Voter Identification) is 

https://leg.colorado.gov/ballots/mail-ballot-voter-identification-2/files/blue-book

 if Tennessee Amendment 1 (Proposed amendment to Article I, Section 15 (bail)) is 

 if Oklahoma State Question 847 (SQ 847, LR 381 Final Ballot Title (Real property valuation), as rewritten by the Attorney General) is 

https://www.sos.ok.gov/documents/questions/847.pdf

 if Washington Initiative IP26-645 (Initiative Measure No. IP26-645 concerns state and local taxes.) is 

 if New Mexico Amendment 2 (Proposing to amend Article 7, Section 1 of the Constitution of New Mexico to remove the requirement that school elections be separate from partisan elections.) is 

 if Nebraska Initiative Measure 442 (Fairness for Girls: Shall the Nebraska Constitution be amended to provide: (1) Schools must expressly designate each athletic team or sport as one of the following based on biological sex: (a) Males, men, or boys; (b) females, women, or girls; or (c) coed or mixed; and (2) Athletic teams or sports designated for females, women, or girls shall not be open to students of the male sex?) is 

 if North Dakota Measure 1 (Constitutional Measure No. 1 (House Concurrent Resolution No. 3003, 2025 Session Laws, Ch. 614)) is 

https://www.sos.nd.gov/sites/default/files/documents/elections/measures/ballot-language-2026-general-measure1.pdf

Elections

2026 Midterms

Trending

More election markets