
[Metaculus] Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
0
1kJan 2
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will be resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2025, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports that a second wave of mobilization is underway in Russia. If this event does not happen, this question will resolve as No.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
61% chance
Will there be a major flare-up (worse than past 5 years) in Russia/Ukraine conflict in 2022?
37% chance
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024?
50% chance
Will more than 5,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year?
86% chance
"Will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine in 2023?"
37% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?
50% chance
Will more than 15,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year?
27% chance
Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory in 2022?
63% chance