[Metaculus] Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
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Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will be resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2025, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) reports that a second wave of mobilization is underway in Russia. If this event does not happen, this question will resolve as No.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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