"Will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus dispproval) rating at the end of 2023?"
2
90Ṁ40Dec 31
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/ . Currently he is at 51% disapprove, 43% approve, so his approval - disapproval is -8 and this question would resolve as "no".
This is question #22 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Biden’s approval rating (as per 538) be greater than fifty percent at the end of 2022?
73% chance
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be above 40% by the end of the month?
55% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance
[Metaculus] Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election?
94% chance
What will Joe Biden's approval rating be on February 1?
64% chance
At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?
At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2025?
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
21% chance
Will Biden win?
50% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?"
57% chance