"Will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus dispproval) rating at the end of 2023?"
Basic
2
Ṁ40Dec 31
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/ . Currently he is at 51% disapprove, 43% approve, so his approval - disapproval is -8 and this question would resolve as "no".
This is question #22 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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