Will PredictIt think Donald Trump is the most likely 2024 GOP nominee by the end of 2022?
Mini
2
Ṁ223
Jan 1
27%
chance
From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money