Will the Beijing Olympics happen successfully on schedule?
Basic
4
Ṁ14kJan 1
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China have over 10,000 COVID-19 cases per day at the end of February 2022?
22% chance
[ACX2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
72% chance
Will China report more than 100,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases for any single day before May 2022?
36% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
55% chance
Will Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031?
46% chance
Will something happne?
53% chance
Will I finish the task before 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task before 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance