Will there be a major flare-up (worse than in past 50 years) in China/Taiwan conflict in 2022?
3
100Ṁ1152Jan 1
0.2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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