MANIFOLD
No military conflict between the PRC and Taiwan in 2022
4
Ṁ100Ṁ43
Jun 23
86%
chance
#MattYglesias2022 One of Matt Yglesias' predictions for 2022: https://www.slowboring.com/p/predictions-are-hard #Taiwan #China #2022
Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will China Invade Taiwan in 2022?
14% chance
Will there be a major flare-up (worse than in past 50 years) in China/Taiwan conflict in 2022?
0% chance
[ACX2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
72% chance
China officially abandons Covid Zero in 2022
74% chance
"Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2023?"
54% chance
[Metaculus] If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will the Solomon Islands host a Chinese military base before 2032?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be a military conflict between Serbia and Kosovo before January 1, 2024?
50% chance
Will there be a major flare-up (worse than past 10 years) in Israel/Palestine conflict in 2022?
6% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy