Will China Invade Taiwan in 2022?
11
100Ṁ708Jan 1
14%
chance
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1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if the People's Republic of China attempts to physically invade Taiwan, regardless of whether they succeed
#China #War #Taiwan
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a few somewhat related metaculus markets:
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/8885/conflict-between-prc--roc-taiwan-by-2023/
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7792/100-deaths-from-taiwan-conflict-before-2026/
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5320/chinese-annexation-of-most-of-taiwan-by-2050/
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