Will we fund "Socio-political impacts of nuclear winter"?
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Will the project "Socio-political impacts of nuclear winter" receive receive any funding from the Clearer Thinking Regranting program run by ClearerThinking.org?


Below, you can find some selected quotes from the public copy of the application. The text beneath each heading was written by the applicant. Alternatively, you can click here to see the entire public portion of their application.

Brief project description

A historical and sociological study of disasters affecting humanity, ranging from volcanic eruptions, war, and famine, to hypothesize the likely effects of nuclear winter and uncover best practices for maintaining social collaboration and reducing risk of civilizational collapse.

Why the applicant thinks we should fund this project

To be blunt, this project should be funded because I believe it’s the only one of its kind. I’ve never met anyone, or anyone who knows anyone, researching the impact of nuclear winter on society, yet this means we may confront this event completely blind. For decades, scientists have hypothesized about the likelihood of and the environmental impact of nuclear winter, but never expanded this into its social implications. We have an abundance of historical evidence that environmental catastrophe has direct implications for the trajectory of human civilization and human flourishing, but no well-reasoned estimations of what nuclear winter would mean for us beyond our climate.

How this compares against similar projects

ALLFED is engaged in very similar work in terms of operating at the level of tertiary prevention - minimizing damage after disaster has already occurred. While I believe their work is valuable, I think their projects are also dependent on questions they are not currently researching, which I would aim to address: what infrastructure is most likely to collapse, or be threatened, by nuclear winter? How many people will be too traumatized to maintain a semblance of normalcy? How will we ensure the maintenance of trust, and international contract enforcement, to keep overseas trade operating as much as possible and minimize food hoarding?

Here you can review the entire public portion of the application (which contains a lot more information about the applicant and their project):

https://docs.google.com/document/d/14pJ81a7PmAqNUiFSNdQYAnXm88G1aLCsJANzqfA6p3M/edit

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