Will Russia invade Ukraine before the end of January?
14
100Ṁ1520Feb 1
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Jan 14, 6:30pm: Will Russian military have a presence within the Ukraine before February 1st, 2202? #Russia #Ukraine #shortterm #RussiaUkraine
Jan 23, 8:20am: confirmed, this is a 2022 market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia invade Ukraine before the end of February?
39% chance
When will Russia invade the Ukraine?
When will Russia invade the Ukraine?
Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory in 2022?
63% chance
When will Russia and Ukraine sign or announce an agreement to end the current conflict in Ukraine?
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?
61% chance
Will there be a major flare-up (worse than past 5 years) in Russia/Ukraine conflict in 2022?
37% chance
Will more than 5,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year?
86% chance
Will more than 15,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year?
27% chance