Will large areas of New England have blackouts in the 2021-2022 winter?
1
Ṁ25
May 2
40%
chance
Recent reporting (eg. https://www.bostonglobe.com/2021/12/14/nation/rolling-blackouts-possible-new-england-this-winter-regional-grid-warns/) has suggested that there might be blackouts in New England due to natural gas price spikes and supply chain issues. However, it is also expected to be an unusually mild winter, so gas usage will likely be lower than in past years. This market will resolve negatively if blackouts occur but only because of physical damage, such as lines that are downed by trees.
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