Will sports still matter a lot to the average American in 2040?
4
Ṁ235
Jun 23
64%
chance
This market will resolve positively ("Yes") if sports still matter a lot to the average American on January 1, 2040. Examples of sports mattering a lot: - Youth spend significant amounts of time training, playing and thinking about sports - Adults spend significant time/money watching sports or organizing social outings around sporting events - Media dedicate content to analyze sports or use sports as a lens in which to discuss contemporary issues - Talented athletes hold an elevated status in culture/society and earn high wages I generally define sports as physical athletic activity but may shift this definition to consider e-sports if it makes sense in the context of 2040. Dec 29, 1:53am: This is a subjective question but I feel that it's resolvable. I'll probably do some research on money spent on sports, the size of the sports market, etc but it'll be more of a gut feeling resolution. Are kids still seeking athletic scholarships? Are sports bars thriving on Saturday/Sunday nights? Is sports still a common language in which average Americans discuss contemporary issues? These are the kinds of questions I'll use to decide whether sports still matter a lot.
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