Will most of the US population have gotten Covid by the end of 2022?
9
100Ṁ708Jun 23
88%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if >50% of the US population are estimated to have had an infection with Covid according to seroprevalence data at https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#national-lab. (For reference, the current estimate is 31% for October 2021.) This will resolve a few months into 2023 when the data for December 2022 is available.
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