For AR, will passthrough optics dominate the consumer market (versus transparent optics) by EOY 2024
1
100Ṁ50Jan 1
84%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Measured in terms of total devices sold by any reputable source (such as https://www.statista.com/statistics/1055434/worldwide-vr-ar-device-shipments-by-product-type/).
Jan 13, 8:36am: https://www.counterpointresearch.com/xr-headset-shipments-almost-triple-yoy-q1-2021/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Apple ship its AR glasses by EOY 2022?
15% chance
"Will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset in 2023?"
40% chance
Will Apple sell an Apple branded AR or VR Headset by December 1st 2022?
11% chance
Will, at the end of 2022 western teenagers spend more time in VR then in real live?
0% chance
Will any Chinese semiconductor firm announce a new product with specifications past the threshold of US export controls by the end of 2023?
50% chance
Will circular economy become mainstream in 20 years?
48% chance
Will This New Technology Prove Effective for Internet Users by 2025?
50% chance
Will sports still matter a lot to the average American in 2040?
64% chance
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2024?
20% chance
AI: Will any model exceed World Cup peak interest? (2023)
50% chance