Will Lada Nuzhna have a DunedinPACE rate of aging lower than 0.85?

[Metaculus] Will Waltine Nauta receive a more severe sentence than Donald Trump in "United S...Trump and Waltine Nauta"?

Will Manifold Markets have a better Brier score than Matt Yglesias on the #MattYglesias2022 questions?

Will Arden retire next month?

Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?

[Metaculus] Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?

[Metaculus] Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

"Will an image model win Scott Alexander’s bet on compositionality, to Edwin Chen’s satisfaction, in 2023?"

Will David Punish Bad Boys?

Will there be another high-profile cancellation a la James Damore or Tim Hunt by EOY?