Will I be a regular user of this website in 2022?
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Ṁ147Jun 23
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I will set a reminder on my calendar to update this market at the end of 2022. If the reminder is the first time I've thought about the website for at least 2 months, I will update the market to "No." Otherwise I will update it to "Yes."
I will seed the initial bet at 20% probability with $50 of my own fake money.
Dec 29, 4:16am: Initial seeding proved difficult. It would be nice if you could add an ante to your market creation, since there's less reason to bet on a market without an ante (you are at the mercy of other people also betting, otherwise you simply lose your money)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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