If Scotland asks for a section 30 order for an independence referendum, will UK grant one in 2022?
1
100Ṁ40Dec 31
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Scotland doesn't ask for a section 30 order in 2022, resolves to N/A. If Scotland does ask for a section 30 order, and UK grants it by the end of 2022, resolves to YES. If Scotland asks for a section 30 order, but UK doesn't grant it by the end of 2022, resolves to NO.
Background on a section 30 order: <https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-50744526>
#UK #Scotland #Politics
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Scottish government ask the UK government for a section 30 order, to facilitate a referendum for Scottish independence, by 31-Dec-2022?
30% chance
Will Nicola Sturgeon be First Minister of Scotland on 31 December 2022?
93% chance
"Will the UK hold a general election in 2023?"
56% chance
Will England enter lockdown before 1 February 2022?
12% chance
Will I, a triply-jabbed UK citizen, get another jab before the end of 2022
63% chance
[Metaculus] Will a CANZUK Free Movement Treaty be Adopted Before 2029?
50% chance
Will Boris Johnson resign before March 2022?
54% chance
Will Boris Johnson leave office before Feb 1st 2022?
18% chance
"Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK at the end of 2023?"
41% chance
25. Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK at the end of 2023?
58% chance