How many more markets will I create by May 1, 2022?
Basic
2
Ṁ20May 2
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will resolve this market by choosing a random real number between 0 and 100, and resolving this market to YES if that number is less than the number of markets I've created, not including this market or previously created markets (equivalently, it is the total number of markets I've created minus 5). I will not conduct any trading on this market.
#meta
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Reasons for YES: Tom's first market was Jan 15, and has made 5 markets in the span of a week; extrapolating linearly gets you to around 60-70 markets
Reasons for NO: No one has close to 50 markets atm; now that antes are required, the minimum M$10 imposes a floor on how many total markets one can create without buying more currency
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold Markets require Proof of Humanity by the end of 2022?
62% chance
Will Mantic Markets have over $1M in revenue by 2023?
37% chance
Will I create at least 10 markets on this site by the end of the year?
55% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
55% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task before 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task before 2024?
50% chance
Will I finish the task by 2024?
50% chance