Will the runner-up in the 2024 US Presidential Election accept their defeat by Dec 31, 2024?
Basic
12
Ṁ2246Jun 23
78%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If there is an ongoing court case to determine the winner at any time in 2025, it's a no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If Kamala Harris becomes the Democratic nominee, will she win the 2024 election?
36% chance
[Kalshi] Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2024?
55% chance
[Metaculus] Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?
50% chance
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2024?
60% chance
Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?
49% chance
Will Bernie Sanders seek the Democratic Party's nomination for president in 2024?
59% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?"
48% chance
At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024?"
57% chance