Will the test results be conclusive by the end of the year?
Basic
0
Dec 31
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is concerned with determining whether the test results for a specific experiment or study will be conclusive by the end of the year. A conclusive result indicates that a clear and definitive outcome has been achieved, whether positive or negative. Resolves YES if credible sources confirm the conclusiveness of the test results by the end of the year. Resolves NO if the test results remain inconclusive or are unable to provide a clear outcome. Initial probability is set to 50%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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