Will at least one new hair loss treatment which is more effective than existing treatments become approved by the FDA and publicly available by 2025?
0
50Dec 31
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"More effective" - among all potential users, the treatment promotes better average hair restoration than any individual existing treatment (combinations of treatments do not count). Less side effects is not the same as better effectiveness.
Example of a high potential treatment:
Related marker (2 years longer):
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