
Will at least one new hair loss treatment which is more effective than existing treatments become approved by the FDA and publicly available by 2025?
0
50Dec 31
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"More effective" - among all potential users, the treatment promotes better average hair restoration than any individual existing treatment (combinations of treatments do not count). Less side effects is not the same as better effectiveness.
Example of a high potential treatment:
Related marker (2 years longer):
[market]
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20...e US before July 1, 2025?
50% chance
Will AI will discover a new drug promising enough for clinical trials in 2022?
91% chance
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2025?
30% chance
[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
34% chance
Will This New Technology Prove Effective for Internet Users by 2025?
50% chance
Will a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024?
50% chance
Will There Be Clinical Use of Senolytics for Anti-Aging by End of 2033?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025?
50% chance
Will US govt not renew the ban on funding gain-of-function research in 2022?
34% chance