[ACX2024] Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?
Basic
1
Ṁ10Jan 17
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if year over year core CPI inflation (CPI excluding food and energy) exceeds 3% from December 2023 to December 2024, according to seasonally adjusted data when first published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
[Kalshi] Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
"Will US CPI inflation for 2023 average above 4% in 2023?"
41% chance
Will the US inflation rate for 2022 be lower than 6.8% ?
62% chance
Will the S&P 500 trade below 3800 in 2022?
60% chance
"Will the US unemployment rate (now 3.7%) be above 4% in November 2023?"
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will there be a recession by the end of 2024?
50% chance
"Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023?"
52% chance
"Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2023?"
38% chance
November 2022 year-on-year CPI growth is above 4%
75% chance
"Will the Shanghai index of Chinese stocks go up over 2023?"
58% chance