[ACX2024] Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?
Basic
0
Dec 16
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question resolves as Yes if the monthly U-3 unemployment figure, in percent, seasonally adjusted, for November, 2024 is greater than 4.0%. Resolution will be determined according to the first estimate published for November 2024 by the BLS, typically found here.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
[Kalshi] Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by November 07, 2024?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?
59% chance
"Will the US unemployment rate (now 3.7%) be above 4% in November 2023?"
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?
50% chance
The unemployment rate stays between 4 and 5% in 2022
50% chance
Will unemployment in the US fall below four percent by November 2022?
67% chance
[ACX2024] Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024?
50% chance
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be above 40% by the end of the month?
55% chance
[ACX2024] Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?
50% chance
Will unemployment continue decreasing?
56% chance