[Kalshi] Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2024?
Basic
0
Jan 8
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
https://disclosure.spglobal.com/sri/, https://www.moodys.com/Pages/Sovereign-Default-Research.aspx, https://www.fitchratings.com/sovereigns
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
[Kalshi] Will GPT-5 be released by December 31, 2024?
52% chance
[Kalshi] Will there be a recession by the end of 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will TikTok be banned by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024?
59% chance
[ACX2024] Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2023?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?
50% chance