"Will any new country join NATO in 2023?"
Basic
6
Ṁ140Dec 31
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Sweden and Finland completing the accession process would count as new countries.
This is question #11 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline be blocked or sanctioned by 2023?
36% chance
Will Russia invade Ukrainian territory in 2022?
63% chance
"Will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents) in 2023?"
41% chance
"Will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action in 2023?"
62% chance
"Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2023?"
54% chance
"Will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area in 2023?"
63% chance
"Will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war in 2023?"
72% chance
"Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2023?"
56% chance
"Will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol at the end of 2023?"
51% chance
"Will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine in 2023?"
37% chance