Will Austin TX leave COVID Stage 5 prior to February 15, 2022?
Basic
5
Ṁ155Feb 16
69%
chance
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Austin is currently in Stage 5: https://austin.maps.arcgis.com/apps/dashboards/0ad7fa50ba504e73be9945ec2a7841cb
Stages are set based on indicator thresholds listed here: https://www.austintexas.gov/page/covid-19-risk-based-guidelines
NOTE: Austin doesn't immediately change stages when thresholds are met. They can delay for weeks, especially when the indicators are hovering right around the borderline.
This market will resolve YES iff Austin changes to any other stage prior to midnight CST the morning of February 15, 2022. (A Feb 14 announcement of a change "effective the 15th" is still a NO.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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