Will Austin TX leave COVID Stage 5 prior to February 15, 2022?
5
Ṁ155Feb 16
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Austin is currently in Stage 5: https://austin.maps.arcgis.com/apps/dashboards/0ad7fa50ba504e73be9945ec2a7841cb
Stages are set based on indicator thresholds listed here: https://www.austintexas.gov/page/covid-19-risk-based-guidelines
NOTE: Austin doesn't immediately change stages when thresholds are met. They can delay for weeks, especially when the indicators are hovering right around the borderline.
This market will resolve YES iff Austin changes to any other stage prior to midnight CST the morning of February 15, 2022. (A Feb 14 announcement of a change "effective the 15th" is still a NO.)
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will at least 75% of the USA COVID-19 cases between 1/1/22 and 2/28/23 occur between 1/1/22 and 2/28/22?
48% chance
Will any version of Build Back Better be signed into law before March 1st 2022?
41% chance
Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
46% chance
Will China have over 10,000 COVID-19 cases per day at the end of February 2022?
22% chance
"Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022?"
45% chance
Will China report more than 100,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases for any single day before May 2022?
36% chance
"Will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines in 2023?"
44% chance
Will I test positive for Covid by May 1, 2022?
42% chance
Will 20% of US kids between 0.5 and 5 years old get at least one COVID vaccine by year's end?
57% chance
Will New York City public schools discontinue all COVID testing of students before 31 Dec 2022?
53% chance