Will there be an elite consensus that the majority of society should return to normal with no Covid precautions by Feb 14th?
11
100Ṁ2089Feb 15
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It helps if we have official statements from Biden, Fauci, or other government officials instructing Americans to return to normalcy. There should also be many experts / scientists that make statements to this effect. The consensus does not need to be perfect: A single op-ed in the NYT arguing against normalcy would not on its own be enough to resolve NO.
Ultimately, I will use my judgment to resolve this question.
#Covid #Politics
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20...e US before July 1, 2025?
50% chance
Will most of the US population have gotten Covid by the end of 2022?
88% chance
Will at least 75% of the USA COVID-19 cases between 1/1/22 and 2/28/23 occur between 1/1/22 and 2/28/22?
48% chance
What will the trajectory of Covid be in the US for 2022?
Will Austin TX leave COVID Stage 5 prior to February 15, 2022?
69% chance
Will I test positive for Covid by May 1, 2022?
42% chance
Will England enter lockdown before 1 February 2022?
12% chance
"Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022?"
45% chance
Will New York City public schools discontinue all COVID testing of students before 31 Dec 2022?
53% chance
"Will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines in 2023?"
44% chance