If Keir Starmer is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Labour Party win?
7
Ṁ165May 2
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This resolves N/A if Keir Starmer is not the leader of the Labour Party going into the next general election, currently scheduled for the 2nd May 2024, YES if the first government formed after that election is a Labour majority or minority government or a coalition government where Labour makes up a plurality of the seats, and NO otherwise.
Jan 15, 5:50pm: Clarification: Plurality of the seats among the parties making up the coalition, not necessarily the House of Commons.
Jan 16, 2:04am: #Politics #UKPolitics #2024UKGeneralElection
Jan 16, 2:05am: #KeirStarmer #UKLabourParty
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Liberal party win the next Australian Federal election?
59% chance
If Boris Johnson is not leader of the Conservative party, will they lose seats in the local elections, on net?
65% chance
If Boris Johnson is leader of the Conservative party, will they lose seats in the local elections, on net?
72% chance
"Will the UK hold a general election in 2023?"
56% chance
"Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK at the end of 2023?"
41% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance
25. Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK at the end of 2023?
58% chance
Will Boris Johnson resign before March 2022?
54% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance
At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?