If Boris Johnson is not leader of the Conservative party, will they lose seats in the local elections, on net?

[Metaculus] Will the Conservatives hold on to their seat in the Mid Bedfordshire by-election?

Will Boris Johnson resign before March 2022?

Will Democrats lose more than 10 seats during the 2022 midterms?

Will Democrats lose their majorities in the House and Senate in 2022?

If Keir Starmer is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Labour Party win?

Will Boris Johnson leave office before Feb 1st 2022?

Will the Liberal party win the next Australian Federal election?

"Will the UK hold a general election in 2023?"

"Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK at the end of 2023?"