[Metaculus] Will the Conservatives hold on to their seat in the Mid Bedfordshire by-election?
0
50Oct 22
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the Conservatives hold on to their seat in the Mid Bedfordshire by-election?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if a candidate for the UK Conservative party is declared the winner of the 2023 Mid Bedfordshire election, as reported by the BBC.
This market is managed by a bot. Once the original question resolves this market should automatically resolve the next time the bot is run. If the original resolved more than a day ago and this question is still open, ping @jskf.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election?
94% chance
If Boris Johnson is leader of the Conservative party, will they lose seats in the local elections, on net?
72% chance
[Metaculus] Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?
18% chance
[Metaculus] Will the Republicans Party of France (Les Républicains) form a political allian...nch legislative election?
50% chance
If Boris Johnson is not leader of the Conservative party, will they lose seats in the local elections, on net?
65% chance
[Metaculus] Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?
50% chance
Will the Liberal party win the next Australian Federal election?
59% chance
If Keir Starmer is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Labour Party win?
55% chance
[Metaculus] Will Spain announce a snap general election before January 2025?
67% chance
"Will the UK hold a general election in 2023?"
56% chance