Will Yahya Sinwar cease to act as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip before 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2024, credible sources report that Yahya Sinwar has either stepped down or been replaced as Hamas Chief in the Gaza Strip, been captured by Israel, or that he has died. The question will resolve as No if he continuously holds his position or if there is no reporting indicating a change in status.

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