Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, after October 9, 2023, and before January 1, 2024, credible sources report that Israel has carried out an attack with damage occurring within the borders of the country of Iran that has killed at least five Iranians, and that either of the following is true:

• Israel has explicitly acknowledged and taken credit for the attack

• Israel performed the attack in an unobscured manner, such that credible sources report without ambiguity that the attack was carried out by Israel.

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