[ACX2024] Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?
Basic
0
Jan 2
50%
chance

Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.


Resolution criteria

This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2024, credible sources report that there have been 100 or more deaths among the overtly flagged members of the militaries of Ethiopia and Eritrea caused by confrontation with the overtly flagged military of the other nation. This includes accidents, such as vehicle collisions.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.


Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules