Will there be five or more American Military Casualties in Iraq or Syria due to an attack by Iranian backed groups in 2022
1
100Ṁ10Oct 13
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will there be five or more American Military Casualties in Iraq or Syria due to an attack by Iranian backed groups in 2022. Market resolves based on official reports, reputable reporting, and OSINT
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
34% chance
[Metaculus] Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon on July 31, 2025?
18% chance
Will more than 5,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year?
86% chance
[Metaculus] Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025?
50% chance
"Will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine in 2023?"
37% chance
Will more than 15,000 people be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian War this year?
27% chance
[Metaculus] Will Israel carry out and explicitly acknowledge a deadly attack on Iran before 2024?
50% chance
Will there be over 200 Ukrainian Military deaths by the end of March 2022
42% chance
[ACX2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?
72% chance
[ACX2024] Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?
65% chance