Will Lex Fridman create a market on Manifold by the end of 2023?

"Will an image model win Scott Alexander’s bet on compositionality, to Edwin Chen’s satisfaction, in 2023?"

"Will Elon Musk remain owner of Twitter at the end of 2023?"

[ACX2024] Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024?

Will there be a verified encounter with extraterrestrial life by the end of 2030?

Will AOC run for President by 2040?

Will 4 members of Tcs get engaged or married by the end of 2022?

[Metaculus] Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?

Before 10 May 2024, will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift announce or acknowledge that they are engaged to be married?

[ACX2024] Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?