[Kalshi] Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2024?
Basic
0
Jan 2
50%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Kalshi.
Resolution criteria
If the CDC has identified a new variant of concern between Issuance and December 31, 2024, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution sources
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/variants/variant-classifications.html
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
[Kalshi] Will the Federal Reserve cut rates by November 07, 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will GPT-5 be released by December 31, 2024?
52% chance
[Kalshi] Will the CDC identify a new variant of concern by December 31, 2023?
50% chance
Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
46% chance
[Kalshi] Will a new Supreme Court justice be confirmed by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will TikTok be banned by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2024?
50% chance
Will WHO designate another Variant Of Concern by the end of 2022?
59% chance
"Will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines in 2023?"
44% chance
[Kalshi] Will there be a recession by the end of 2024?
50% chance