"Will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area in 2023?"
5
150Ṁ120
Dec 31
63%
chance

We will make this a judgment call but generally resolve positive if at least 25 civilians have to evacuate.

This is question #7 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.

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